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REALTORS® welcome bank rate cut


OTTAWA – March 4th, 2008 – The interest rate cut announced today by the Bank of Canada will help Canadian home owners and buyers, according to The Canadian Real Estate Association.

The Bank of Canada cut its benchmark overnight lending rate by one-half of one percentage point to 3 1/2 per cent on March 4th, and signaled further cuts in the near future. The trend-setting Bank rate, which is set 0.25 percentage points above the overnight lending rate, now stands at 3.75 per cent.

“The threat of inflation is being eclipsed by concerns about slower economic growth, so the Bank of Canada cut its trend-setting bank rate to boost growth,” said CREA Chief Economist Gregory Klump. “Financial market turmoil will remain a downside risk to growth for some time. This means the Bank will probably continue lowering interest rates.”

Lower lending rates will help offset the effect of tightening credit conditions and allow homeowners to obtain better mortgage terms. This will also benefit Canadian homeowners dealing with variable rate mortgages.

“The Bank of Canada today acknowledged that the U.S. economic slowdown was likely to be deeper and more prolonged than it projected less than six weeks ago,” said CREA President Ann Bosley. “When the Bank decided to lower interest rates today, the advertised five-year conventional mortgage rate stood at 7.29 per cent. This is less than one per cent above where it stood at the beginning of last year.

Competition among mortgage lenders remains stiff, which continues to help many borrowers negotiate discounts from advertised rates.“ Declining interest rates and a rebound in economic growth are factored into the CREA MLS® 2008 market forecast. “MLS® sales activity will stay strong and reach the second highest level on record this year. Residential MLS® prices are also expected to continue rising. Additional cuts to mortgage interest rates are good news for housing affordability and Canadian housing demand,” Klump added.


Dip in new home builds slows growth in Ontario


Ontario's economy will continue to struggle with a beleaguered manufacturing sector and the effects of Canada’s high dollar slowing growth to 1.4 per cent in 2008, according to a provincial forecast released in January by RBC.

“The most serious downsides to Ontario's economy will continue to stick for some time, yet we do see economic growth improving by a full percentage point in 2009,” said Craig Wright, senior vice-president and chief economist, RBC. “While a recession is not impossible, we believe that the province can avoid one despite a growing list of worries.”

A decline in new home construction since the 2003 peak will help to slow the province’s economy, with numbers expected to decrease from 68, 100 in 2007 to 66, 200 in 2008. Other factors weighing down the province's economy, according to the report, include: an elevated Canadian dollar that is hammering away at manufacturers' export competitiveness; negative exposure to weak U.S. housing and automotive markets; strong competition from Asian manufactured goods; and weak growth in machinery and equipment investment despite capital cheapening influences of a strong currency.

However, the report notes that forecasted currency depreciation, a modest weakening in commodity prices, and acceleration in U.S. growth later this year should help boost Ontario's economy in 2008. Auto production should also grow in late 2008 and into 2009 as U.S. demand stabilizes, a new assembly plant swings into production, and new models are introduced. A reasonably vibrant services sector, strength in the tech sector, job growth and healthy consumer spending will also help bridge the gap.

“Modest fiscal stimulus announced in the fall 2007 provincial budget is welcome news, especially regarding taxes,” said Wright. “However, federal-provincial cooperation is still needed to achieve sales tax harmony. Ontario's lack of tax competitiveness is a major concern as, unlike B.C., it still applies the provincial sales tax to capital goods.”



Sales Remain Strong


Resale home market will be strong, but construction will retreat

TORONTO, NOVEMBER 6, 2007 – Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) released its latest forecast for the St. Catharines Niagara Census Metropolitan Area (CMA)today in the St. Catharines-Niagara Housing Market Outlook, Fall 2007 edition. Reports arealso available for Canada and other major metropolitan areas across the country.

Highlights of the Housing Market Outlook Report include:

MLS® sales will remain high and close to the record set in 2004. About 6,600 units are expected to change hands in 2008, only 1.5 per cent lower than the peak in 2004.

With new listings growing faster than sales, the resale home market will become more balanced. Price growth will ease to about four per cent in 2008.

New home construction will continue to retreat in 2008 and will total 930 units. Competition from the resale market will result in fewer new single-detached starts. Multiple-family home starts will be very close to the level seen in 2007.

Employment will remain flat. The strong Canadian dollar and high energy costs will continue to impact the manufacturing and tourism sectors negatively. “Affordability will be key to housing demand,” said David Lan, St Catharines-Niagara Market Analyst. “Low mortgage carrying costs and respectable income growth in the service sector will drive demand for medium-priced resale homes. Spill-over demand to the new home market will be limited. New single-detached home starts will retreat because their higher prices will drive many consumers back to the much more affordable resale home market. “A combination of a slowing U.S economy, strong Canadian dollar vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar, and moderate inflation will help keep Canadian interest and mortgage rates low over the remainder of this year and in 2008”, added Lan.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) has been Canada’s national housing agency for over 60 years. CMHC is committed to helping Canadians access a wide choice of quality, affordable homes, while making vibrant, healthy communities and cities a reality across the country.

For more information, visit www.cmhc.ca or call 1 800 668-2642.